The information below is from Hubpages about the changes of making it to the NBA. The chances are quite slim, but on the bright side there are a lot more jobs in sports management, e.g., managing sports teams, working in sports marketing, working with the Olympics, etc. You can have a long career and be around professional sports.
"According to the National Federation of High Schools, there are 17,969 high schools in the country with a basketball program for a grand total of 540,207 aspiring NBA players."
"There are 312 teams in division I college ball. That means there's less then 4,000 spots for these 540,000 players.
The NBA has 60 draft selections.
34 of them make the team.
34 out of 540,000...but WAIT...we didn't figure in overseas players who the NBA has almost as many as American born.
So let's cut that in half.
The odds are 16 out of 540,000 of you making the -- BUT WAIT --
What about all those high school players who go right to the pros? Alot of them are the best in the league, Jermaine O'Neal, Kobe, Darius Miles, they'll take your spot for sure. And if they're not foreign born, then that's essentially the top 9 picks of the draft.
So that's 16 minus 9.
The odds are 7 in 540,000 of a real real real good 14-year old basketball player of making it to the NBA."